‘The Situation is Dire’: Hostilities on Iran Tightens India's Cooking-Gas Availability.
The repercussions of a conflict being fought nearly 3,000km away are now impacting India's households.
As military actions on Iran hinder energy transports through the vital shipping lane, supplies of kitchen fuel are tightening across India, compelling restaurants to shorten food lists, shorten hours and in some cases shut down altogether.
Social media is awash with video clips showing crowds outside fuel suppliers across Indian cities and towns as worries over fuel supplies escalate. Restaurant kitchens appear the hardest struck: the sharpest squeeze is in commercial eateries.
"The situation is dire. Cooking gas simply isn't available," says a spokesperson of the an industry group.
Most food outlets run either on industrial fuel canisters or direct gas lines, and the lack of supply are now being noticed across the country. "Numerous restaurants have ceased operations - some in northern India, many in the southern states. People are switching to solid fuels and electronic appliances to keep food preparation going."
City-Specific Fallout
In a western metro, local news say up to a 20% of hotels and restaurants are already completely or partially closed as business fuel stocks dry up. In the southern cities of Bengaluru and Chennai, some restaurants say their gas stocks have shrunk with minimal reserves. "We can only make coffee and no other dishes - it is nothing less than pathetic. Businesses are going to suffer," says a restaurant owner in Bengaluru.
Restaurant operators are seeking alternatives. "Menus are being curtailed, some are opening only for dinner and operating solely in the evening," an industry representative says, adding that closures are fluctuating as supplies wax and wane. "Three restaurants in Delhi were shut yesterday - two have already reopened. It's a changing landscape."
Retailers observe a spike in sales of induction stoves, with some saying they are running out of them.
Government Stance
Yet, the authorities maintains there is adequate supply.
India has more than 30 crore household consumers and officials say supplies are being prioritized to households as geopolitical strain from the war in the Gulf impact energy markets.
Roughly a majority of India's LPG is brought in from overseas, and about 90% of those imports pass through the critical waterway, the strategic bottleneck now largely blocked by the conflict.
The petroleum ministry says that it directed refineries to maximise LPG output for home needs, raising domestic production by about a significant margin. Commercial stock is being prioritised for vital industries such as healthcare and education, while distribution will be "equitable and clear".
"Unnecessary hoarding and stockpiling has been sparked by misinformation. The normal delivery cycle for home fuel remains about under three days," says a senior official.
Growing Panic
Now the concern is moving beyond kitchens. On digital platforms, a widely shared video from Chennai shows a extended procession of scooters outside a fuel station. "Anxiety is palpable," the description reads.
According to reports from energy specialists, concerns about India's broader energy security may be exaggerated.
India imports the overwhelming majority of its oil. Around 50% of its petroleum shipments - about 2.5-2.7 million barrels a day - travel through the waterway, largely from regional suppliers.
Even if oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz are blocked, the gap could be partly offset by higher imports of discounted Russian crude, according to a refinery and oil markets analyst.
Based on vessel tracking and industry information, incremental Russian crude imports could reach around 1-1.2 million barrels a day, reducing India's effective gap from exposure to the Strait of Hormuz to about 1.6 million barrels a day.
"A large quantity of Russian oil barrels are currently floating on ships in the Indian Ocean and, with only India and China as major buyers, those barrels remain a available backup," an analyst noted.
Kitchen Fuel: The Primary Concern
The real vulnerability is kitchen fuel, analysts say.
India consumes roughly one million barrels a day, but produces only less than half domestically, importing the rest - most of it through the Strait.
Refineries can tweak operations to extract a bit more LPG, but even a moderate increase would only increase domestic supply to about under half of demand, leaving the country heavily reliant on imports.
In short: "Oil import vulnerability can be somewhat alleviated through varied suppliers. Processed petroleum stocks remains fairly adequate. LPG availability is the real variable to watch in the coming weeks."
What may be heightening the panic on the ground is not just scarcity but uneven distribution - and the usual problem of panic buying.
An industry representative alleges exploitative practices.
"Suppliers are exploiting the situation - black-marketing cylinders and selling them at a high cost. In one small town, I heard of cylinders being accumulated and auctioned off."
For now, India's oil supplies may be cushioned by global trade flows. But in restaurants across the country, the more immediate question is simple: how to get the next cylinder.